Burnley F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipWed, 02 Sep 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Middlesbrough F.C.56%
- Burnley F.C. 23%
- Draw 21%
- Middlesbrough F.C. 56%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Middlesbrough F.C., rating it at 55.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The model puts the draw at 21.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Burnley F.C.: LDLDD
Middlesbrough F.C.: WWLWW
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Burnley F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Middlesbrough F.C. (56% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Burnley F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 02 Sep 2026 19:00 GMT — EFL Championship.