Burnley F.C. crestBurnley F.C.vsMiddlesbrough F.C. crestMiddlesbrough F.C.

Burnley F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipWed, 02 Sep 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Middlesbrough F.C.56%

  • Burnley F.C. 23%
  • Draw 21%
  • Middlesbrough F.C. 56%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Middlesbrough F.C., rating it at 55.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The model puts the draw at 21.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Burnley F.C.: LDLDD

Middlesbrough F.C.: WWLWW

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Burnley F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Middlesbrough F.C. (56% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Burnley F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. kick off?
Wed, 02 Sep 2026 19:00 GMT — EFL Championship.

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