Millwall F.C. crestMillwall F.C.vsOxford United F.C. crestOxford United F.C.

Millwall F.C. 2-0 Oxford United F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipSat, 02 May 2026 11:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Millwall F.C.58%

  • Millwall F.C. 58%
  • Draw 24%
  • Oxford United F.C. 18%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Millwall F.C., rating it at 57.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Millwall F.C. won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Millwall F.C.: LWWWD

Oxford United F.C.: WDLWW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-02Millwall F.C. vs Oxford United F.C.2–0
2025-11-01Oxford United F.C. vs Millwall F.C.2–2

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FAQ

Who will win Millwall F.C. vs Oxford United F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Millwall F.C. (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Millwall F.C. vs Oxford United F.C. kick off?
Sat, 02 May 2026 11:30 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Millwall F.C. vs Oxford United F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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