Norwich Cityvs
Burnley F.C.Norwich City 4-1 Burnley F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 29 Aug 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Norwich City76%
- Norwich City
- Draw
- Burnley F.C.
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Norwich City, rating it at 76.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Norwich City won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Norwich City's last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Burnley F.C.'s 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Norwich City's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 22 Sep 2026.
Norwich City: LLLWW
Burnley F.C.: DLDLD
Head-to-head
As of 22 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Norwich City vs Burnley F.C. | 4–1 |
| 2022-04-10 | Norwich City vs Burnley | 2–0 |
| 2021-10-02 | Burnley vs Norwich City | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Norwich City vs Burnley F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Norwich City (76% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Norwich City vs Burnley F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 29 Aug 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Norwich City vs Burnley F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.