Norwich Cityvs
Chelsea FCNorwich City 1-3 Chelsea FC — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2021-2022Thu, 10 Mar 2022 19:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chelsea FC71%
- Norwich City 12%
- Draw 18%
- Chelsea FC 71%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Chelsea FC, rating it at 70.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Norwich City won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 70.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Chelsea FC's last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Norwich City's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 17.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Norwich City: LWWLL
Chelsea FC: WWWWD
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 5.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-10 | Norwich City vs Chelsea FC | 1–3 |
| 2021-10-23 | Chelsea FC vs Norwich City | 7–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Norwich City vs Chelsea FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea FC (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Norwich City vs Chelsea FC kick off?
- Thu, 10 Mar 2022 19:30 GMT — English Premier League 2021-2022.
- What is the Norwich City vs Chelsea FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 5.50 goals per game.