Aston Villa F.C. vs Brentford F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 10 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Aston Villa F.C.50%
- Aston Villa F.C. 50%
- Draw 28%
- Brentford F.C. 22%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Aston Villa F.C., rating it at 49.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Aston Villa F.C. won 2 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Aston Villa F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Aston Villa F.C.: WLLWW
Brentford F.C.: DDLWL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.70Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Brentford F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-08-23 | Brentford F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-03-08 | Brentford F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2024-12-04 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Brentford F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2024-04-06 | Aston Villa vs Brentford | 3–3 |
| 2023-12-17 | Brentford vs Aston Villa | 1–2 |
| 2023-04-22 | Brentford vs Aston Villa | 1–1 |
| 2022-10-23 | Aston Villa vs Brentford | 4–0 |
| 2022-01-02 | Brentford vs Aston Villa | 2–1 |
| 2021-08-28 | Aston Villa vs Brentford | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Aston Villa F.C. vs Brentford F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Aston Villa F.C. (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Aston Villa F.C. vs Brentford F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Aston Villa F.C. vs Brentford F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.