Chelsea F.C.vs
AFC BournemouthChelsea F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 10 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chelsea F.C.53%
- Chelsea F.C.
- Draw
- AFC Bournemouth
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Analysis
Both model families pick Chelsea F.C., rating it at 53.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Chelsea F.C. won 1 of 8, with 4 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Chelsea F.C.'s last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. AFC Bournemouth's 5 produced 16, at 3.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 8 Oct 2026.
Chelsea F.C.: LDWLW
AFC Bournemouth: LWDWD
Head-to-head
As of 8 Oct 2026.
- 8Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-30 | Chelsea F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 2–2 |
| 2025-12-06 | AFC Bournemouth vs Chelsea F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2025-01-14 | Chelsea F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 2–2 |
| 2024-09-14 | AFC Bournemouth vs Chelsea F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2024-05-19 | Chelsea FC vs AFC Bournemouth | 2–1 |
| 2023-09-17 | AFC Bournemouth vs Chelsea FC | 0–0 |
| 2023-05-06 | AFC Bournemouth vs Chelsea FC | 1–3 |
| 2022-12-27 | Chelsea FC vs AFC Bournemouth | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Chelsea F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chelsea F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth kick off?
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Chelsea F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 2 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.