Chelsea F.C.vs
AFC BournemouthChelsea F.C. 5-1 AFC Bournemouth — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 10 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chelsea F.C.53%
Tofiko53% / 22% / 25%
Market54% / 23% / 22%
- Chelsea F.C.
- Draw
- AFC Bournemouth
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Chelsea F.C., rating it at 52.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Chelsea F.C. won 2 of 9, with 4 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026.
Chelsea F.C.: WLDWL
AFC Bournemouth: LLWDW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026.
- 9Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 56%Both scored
- 56%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Chelsea F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 5–1 |
| 2025-12-30 | Chelsea F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 2–2 |
| 2025-12-06 | AFC Bournemouth vs Chelsea F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2025-01-14 | Chelsea F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 2–2 |
| 2024-09-14 | AFC Bournemouth vs Chelsea F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2024-05-19 | Chelsea FC vs AFC Bournemouth | 2–1 |
| 2023-09-17 | AFC Bournemouth vs Chelsea FC | 0–0 |
| 2023-05-06 | AFC Bournemouth vs Chelsea FC | 1–3 |
| 2022-12-27 | Chelsea FC vs AFC Bournemouth | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Chelsea F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chelsea F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth kick off?
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Chelsea F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.