Chelsea F.C.vs
AFC BournemouthChelsea F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 10 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chelsea F.C.51%
- Chelsea F.C.
- Draw
- AFC Bournemouth
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Chelsea F.C., rating it at 51.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Chelsea F.C. won 1 of 8, with 4 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Chelsea F.C.'s last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. AFC Bournemouth's 5 produced 16, at 3.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 17 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Chelsea F.C.: LDWLW
AFC Bournemouth: LWDWD
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 17 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-30 | Chelsea F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 2–2 |
| 2025-12-06 | AFC Bournemouth vs Chelsea F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2025-01-14 | Chelsea F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 2–2 |
| 2024-09-14 | AFC Bournemouth vs Chelsea F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2024-05-19 | Chelsea FC vs AFC Bournemouth | 2–1 |
| 2023-09-17 | AFC Bournemouth vs Chelsea FC | 0–0 |
| 2023-05-06 | AFC Bournemouth vs Chelsea FC | 1–3 |
| 2022-12-27 | Chelsea FC vs AFC Bournemouth | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Chelsea F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chelsea F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth kick off?
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Chelsea F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 2 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.