Sunderland A.F.C. crestSunderland A.F.C.vsBrighton & Hove Albion F.C. crestBrighton & Hove Albion F.C.

Sunderland A.F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueSat, 10 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Sunderland A.F.C.39%

Tofiko39% / 26% / 36%
Market32% / 27% / 41%
  • Sunderland A.F.C.
  • Draw
  • Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Sunderland A.F.C., rating it at 38.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Sunderland A.F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.'s last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Sunderland A.F.C.'s 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 8 Oct 2026.

Sunderland A.F.C.: LWLWD

Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.: WWWDL

Head-to-head

As of 8 Oct 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 0.50Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-14Sunderland A.F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.0–1
2025-12-20Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C.0–0

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FAQ

Who will win Sunderland A.F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Sunderland A.F.C. (39% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Sunderland A.F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. kick off?
Sat, 10 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Sunderland A.F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 0.50 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureBrighton vs Sunderland8 May 2027 →