Arsenal F.C.vs
Leeds United F.C.Arsenal F.C. 2-1 Leeds United F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 10 Oct 2026 11:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Arsenal F.C.71%
Tofiko71% / 18% / 11%
Market69% / 19% / 11%
- Arsenal F.C.
- Draw
- Leeds United F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Arsenal F.C., rating it at 70.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Arsenal F.C. won 3 of 9, with 1 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026.
Arsenal F.C.: WLWWW
Leeds United F.C.: LDWLD
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026.
- 9Games
- 3.56Avg goals
- 56%Both scored
- 78%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Arsenal F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2026-01-31 | Leeds United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 0–4 |
| 2025-08-23 | Arsenal F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 5–0 |
| 2023-04-01 | Arsenal vs Leeds United | 4–1 |
| 2022-10-16 | Leeds United vs Arsenal | 0–1 |
| 2022-05-08 | Arsenal vs Leeds United | 2–1 |
| 2021-12-18 | Leeds United vs Arsenal | 1–4 |
| 2021-02-14 | Arsenal vs Leeds United | 4–2 |
| 2020-11-22 | Leeds United vs Arsenal | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Arsenal F.C. vs Leeds United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Arsenal F.C. (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Arsenal F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 11:30 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Arsenal F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.56 goals per game.