Arsenal F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 10 Oct 2026 11:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Arsenal F.C.72%
- Arsenal F.C.
- Draw
- Leeds United F.C.
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Analysis
Both model families pick Arsenal F.C., rating it at 71.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Arsenal F.C. won 2 of 8, with 1 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 8 Oct 2026.
Arsenal F.C.: LWWWW
Leeds United F.C.: DWLDD
Head-to-head
As of 8 Oct 2026.
- 8Games
- 3.63Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Leeds United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 0–4 |
| 2025-08-23 | Arsenal F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 5–0 |
| 2023-04-01 | Arsenal vs Leeds United | 4–1 |
| 2022-10-16 | Leeds United vs Arsenal | 0–1 |
| 2022-05-08 | Arsenal vs Leeds United | 2–1 |
| 2021-12-18 | Leeds United vs Arsenal | 1–4 |
| 2021-02-14 | Arsenal vs Leeds United | 4–2 |
| 2020-11-22 | Leeds United vs Arsenal | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Arsenal F.C. vs Leeds United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Arsenal F.C. (72% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Arsenal F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 11:30 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Arsenal F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.63 goals per game.