Arsenal F.C.vs
Leeds United F.C.Arsenal F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 10 Oct 2026 11:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Arsenal F.C.73%
Tofiko73% / 18% / 9%
- Arsenal F.C.
- Draw
- Leeds United F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Arsenal F.C., rating it at 73.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Arsenal F.C. won 2 of 8, with 1 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 17 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Arsenal F.C.: LWWWW
Leeds United F.C.: DWLDD
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 17 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 3.63Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Leeds United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 0–4 |
| 2025-08-23 | Arsenal F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 5–0 |
| 2023-04-01 | Arsenal vs Leeds United | 4–1 |
| 2022-10-16 | Leeds United vs Arsenal | 0–1 |
| 2022-05-08 | Arsenal vs Leeds United | 2–1 |
| 2021-12-18 | Leeds United vs Arsenal | 1–4 |
| 2021-02-14 | Arsenal vs Leeds United | 4–2 |
| 2020-11-22 | Leeds United vs Arsenal | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Arsenal F.C. vs Leeds United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Arsenal F.C. (73% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Arsenal F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 11:30 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Arsenal F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.63 goals per game.