Norwich City crestNorwich CityvsCoventry City crestCoventry City

Norwich City 2-1 Coventry City — Result, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipMon, 26 Jan 2026 20:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Coventry City46%

  • Norwich City 31%
  • Draw 23%
  • Coventry City 46%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Coventry City, rating it at 46.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Norwich City won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 46.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 22.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Norwich City: LWWLL

Coventry City: LWLWW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-26Norwich City vs Coventry City2–1
2025-09-13Coventry City vs Norwich City1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Norwich City vs Coventry City?
Tofiko's model favours Coventry City (46% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Norwich City vs Coventry City kick off?
Mon, 26 Jan 2026 20:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Norwich City vs Coventry City head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

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