Norwich City crestNorwich CityvsManchester City crestManchester City

Norwich City 0-4 Manchester City — Result, H2H & Form

English Premier League 2021-2022Sat, 12 Feb 2022 17:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Manchester City82%

Tofiko6% / 12% / 82%
Market5% / 11% / 84%
  • Norwich City
  • Draw
  • Manchester City

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Manchester City, rating it at 82.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Norwich City won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Norwich City's last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Manchester City's 5 produced 17, at 3.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Norwich City's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 26 Sep 2026.

Norwich City: LLLWW

Manchester City: WWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 26 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 4.67Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-17Manchester City F.C. vs Norwich City5–0
2022-02-12Norwich City vs Manchester City0–4
2021-08-21Manchester City vs Norwich City5–0

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FAQ

Who will win Norwich City vs Manchester City?
Tofiko's model favours Manchester City (82% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Norwich City vs Manchester City kick off?
Sat, 12 Feb 2022 17:30 GMT — English Premier League 2021-2022.
What is the Norwich City vs Manchester City head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.67 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legManchester City 5-0 Norwich21 Aug 2021 →