Norwich City vs Watford F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 31 Oct 2026 12:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Norwich City56%
- Norwich City
- Draw
- Watford F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Norwich City or draw82%
- Draw or Watford F.C.44%
- Norwich City or Watford F.C.75%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.548%
- Under 2.552%
Both teams to score
- Norwich City, last 10 home games7 of 10
- Watford F.C., last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Norwich City, rating it at 56.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Norwich City won 1 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Norwich City's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Watford F.C.'s 5 produced 17, at 3.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Norwich City's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 18 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Norwich City: LLLLW
Watford F.C.: LLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 18 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 4Games
- 3.25Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | Norwich City vs Watford F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-12-06 | Watford F.C. vs Norwich City | 3–2 |
| 2022-01-21 | Watford vs Norwich City | 0–3 |
| 2021-09-18 | Norwich City vs Watford | 1–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Norwich City vs Watford F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Norwich City (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Norwich City vs Watford F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 31 Oct 2026 12:30 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Norwich City vs Watford F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.