Watford F.C. crestWatford F.C.vsNorwich City crestNorwich City

Watford F.C. vs Norwich City Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipSat, 23 Jan 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Norwich City45%

Tofiko27% / 28% / 45%
  • Watford F.C.
  • Draw
  • Norwich City

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Watford F.C. or draw55%
  • Draw or Norwich City73%
  • Watford F.C. or Norwich City72%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.547%
  • Under 2.553%

Both teams to score

  • Watford F.C., last 10 home games5 of 10
  • Norwich City, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Norwich City, rating it at 44.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Watford F.C. won 2 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Norwich City's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Watford F.C.'s 5 produced 17, at 3.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Norwich City's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 102 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Watford F.C.: LLLLW

Norwich City: LLLLW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 102 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 4Games
  • 3.25Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-12-29Norwich City vs Watford F.C.0–1
2025-12-06Watford F.C. vs Norwich City3–2
2022-01-21Watford vs Norwich City0–3
2021-09-18Norwich City vs Watford1–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Watford F.C. vs Norwich City?
Tofiko's model favours Norwich City (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Watford F.C. vs Norwich City kick off?
Sat, 23 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Watford F.C. vs Norwich City head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureNorwich vs Watford31 Oct 2026 →