Queens Park Rangers F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL ChampionshipSat, 22 Aug 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bolton Wanderers F.C.55%
- Queens Park Rangers F.C. 20%
- Draw 25%
- Bolton Wanderers F.C. 55%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Bolton Wanderers F.C., rating it at 55.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
They arrive from very different football. Queens Park Rangers F.C.'s last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Bolton Wanderers F.C.'s 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Queens Park Rangers F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Queens Park Rangers F.C.: LWWWW
Bolton Wanderers F.C.: WDDWL
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Queens Park Rangers F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Bolton Wanderers F.C. (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Queens Park Rangers F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 22 Aug 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.