Queens Park Rangers F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL ChampionshipWed, 02 Sep 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Cardiff City F.C.63%
- Queens Park Rangers F.C. 16%
- Draw 21%
- Cardiff City F.C. 63%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Cardiff City F.C., rating it at 63.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
They arrive from very different football. Cardiff City F.C.'s last 5 produced 33 goals — 6.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Queens Park Rangers F.C.'s 5 produced 22, at 4.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 20.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Cardiff City F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 6.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Queens Park Rangers F.C.: LWWWW
Cardiff City F.C.: WWWLL
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Queens Park Rangers F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Cardiff City F.C. (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Queens Park Rangers F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 02 Sep 2026 18:45 GMT — EFL Championship.