Queens Park Rangers F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL ChampionshipSat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Middlesbrough F.C.53%
- Queens Park Rangers F.C. 22%
- Draw 25%
- Middlesbrough F.C. 53%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Middlesbrough F.C., rating it at 53.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Queens Park Rangers F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Queens Park Rangers F.C.'s last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Middlesbrough F.C.'s 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Queens Park Rangers F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Queens Park Rangers F.C.: LWWWW
Middlesbrough F.C.: WDLDL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | Queens Park Rangers F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. | 0–4 |
| 2025-12-13 | Middlesbrough F.C. vs Queens Park Rangers F.C. | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Queens Park Rangers F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Middlesbrough F.C. (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Queens Park Rangers F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Queens Park Rangers F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.