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Queens Park Rangers F.C. crestQueens Park Rangers F.C.vsMiddlesbrough F.C. crestMiddlesbrough F.C.

Queens Park Rangers F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL ChampionshipSat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Middlesbrough F.C.53%

Queens Park Rangers F.C. 22%
Draw 25%
Middlesbrough F.C. 53%
  • Queens Park Rangers F.C. 22%
  • Draw 25%
  • Middlesbrough F.C. 53%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Middlesbrough F.C., rating it at 53.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Queens Park Rangers F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Queens Park Rangers F.C.'s last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Middlesbrough F.C.'s 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.

The model puts the draw at 25.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Queens Park Rangers F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Queens Park Rangers F.C.: LWWWW

Middlesbrough F.C.: WDLDL

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-08Queens Park Rangers F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C.0–4
2025-12-13Middlesbrough F.C. vs Queens Park Rangers F.C.3–1

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FAQ

Who will win Queens Park Rangers F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Middlesbrough F.C. (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Queens Park Rangers F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. kick off?
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Queens Park Rangers F.C. vs Middlesbrough F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

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