Sheffield Unitedvs
Chelsea FCSheffield United 2-2 Chelsea FC — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2023-2024Sun, 07 Apr 2024 16:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chelsea FC70%
- Sheffield United 11%
- Draw 19%
- Chelsea FC 70%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Chelsea FC, rating it at 70.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Sheffield United won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 70.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Chelsea FC's last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Sheffield United's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 18.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Sheffield United: WDWDD
Chelsea FC: WWWWD
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-07 | Sheffield United vs Chelsea FC | 2–2 |
| 2023-12-16 | Chelsea FC vs Sheffield United | 2–0 |
| 2021-02-07 | Sheffield United vs Chelsea FC | 1–2 |
| 2020-11-07 | Chelsea FC vs Sheffield United | 4–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Sheffield United vs Chelsea FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea FC (70% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Sheffield United vs Chelsea FC kick off?
- Sun, 07 Apr 2024 16:30 GMT — English Premier League 2023-2024.
- What is the Sheffield United vs Chelsea FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.