Southampton F.C.vs
Brentford F.C.Southampton F.C. 0-5 Brentford F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2024-2025Sat, 04 Jan 2025 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Brentford F.C.57%
- Southampton F.C. 21%
- Draw 22%
- Brentford F.C. 57%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Brentford F.C., rating it at 56.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Southampton F.C. won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Brentford F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Southampton F.C.: DWLWL
Brentford F.C.: DWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 83%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-04 | Southampton F.C. vs Brentford F.C. | 0–5 |
| 2024-08-31 | Brentford F.C. vs Southampton F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2023-03-15 | Southampton vs Brentford | 0–2 |
| 2023-02-04 | Brentford vs Southampton | 3–0 |
| 2022-05-07 | Brentford vs Southampton | 3–0 |
| 2022-01-11 | Southampton vs Brentford | 4–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Southampton F.C. vs Brentford F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Brentford F.C. (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Southampton F.C. vs Brentford F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 04 Jan 2025 15:00 GMT — English Premier League 2024-2025.
- What is the Southampton F.C. vs Brentford F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.