Southampton F.C.vs
Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.Southampton F.C. 0-4 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2024-2025Sat, 22 Feb 2025 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.56%
- Southampton F.C. 20%
- Draw 23%
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. 56%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Brighton & Hove Albion F.C., rating it at 56.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Southampton F.C. won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Southampton F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Southampton F.C.: DWLWL
Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.: LWWDW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 3.25Avg goals
- 88%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-22 | Southampton F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 0–4 |
| 2024-11-29 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Southampton F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2023-05-21 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Southampton | 3–1 |
| 2022-12-26 | Southampton vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 1–3 |
| 2022-04-24 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Southampton | 2–2 |
| 2021-12-04 | Southampton vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 1–1 |
| 2021-03-14 | Southampton vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 1–2 |
| 2020-12-07 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Southampton | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Southampton F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Southampton F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 22 Feb 2025 15:00 GMT — English Premier League 2024-2025.
- What is the Southampton F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 1 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.