Southampton F.C.vs
Crystal Palace F.C.Southampton F.C. 1-1 Crystal Palace F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2024-2025Wed, 02 Apr 2025 18:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Crystal Palace F.C.51%
- Southampton F.C. 25%
- Draw 25%
- Crystal Palace F.C. 51%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Crystal Palace F.C., rating it at 50.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Southampton F.C. won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Southampton F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Southampton F.C.: DWLWL
Crystal Palace F.C.: LLLWW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 63%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-02 | Southampton F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-12-29 | Crystal Palace F.C. vs Southampton F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2023-04-15 | Southampton vs Crystal Palace | 0–2 |
| 2022-10-29 | Crystal Palace vs Southampton | 1–0 |
| 2022-04-30 | Southampton vs Crystal Palace | 1–2 |
| 2021-12-15 | Crystal Palace vs Southampton | 2–2 |
| 2021-05-11 | Southampton vs Crystal Palace | 3–1 |
| 2020-09-12 | Crystal Palace vs Southampton | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Southampton F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Crystal Palace F.C. (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Southampton F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 02 Apr 2025 18:45 GMT — English Premier League 2024-2025.
- What is the Southampton F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.