Everton F.C.vs
Southampton F.C.Everton F.C. 2-0 Southampton F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2024-2025Sun, 18 May 2025 11:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Everton F.C.61%
- Everton F.C. 61%
- Draw 24%
- Southampton F.C. 15%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Everton F.C., rating it at 60.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Everton F.C. won 1 of 8. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Southampton F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Everton F.C.: DWWDW
Southampton F.C.: DWLWL
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 38%Both scored
- 38%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-18 | Everton F.C. vs Southampton F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2024-11-02 | Southampton F.C. vs Everton F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2023-01-14 | Everton vs Southampton | 1–2 |
| 2022-10-01 | Southampton vs Everton | 1–2 |
| 2022-02-19 | Southampton vs Everton | 2–0 |
| 2021-08-14 | Everton vs Southampton | 3–1 |
| 2021-03-01 | Everton vs Southampton | 1–0 |
| 2020-10-25 | Southampton vs Everton | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Everton F.C. vs Southampton F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Everton F.C. (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Everton F.C. vs Southampton F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 18 May 2025 11:00 GMT — English Premier League 2024-2025.
- What is the Everton F.C. vs Southampton F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 6 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.