Southampton F.C.vs
Hull City A.F.C.Southampton F.C. 1-2 Hull City A.F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 17 Jan 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Southampton F.C.57%
- Southampton F.C. 57%
- Draw 20%
- Hull City A.F.C. 22%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Southampton F.C., rating it at 57.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Southampton F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Southampton F.C.'s last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Hull City A.F.C.'s 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 20.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Southampton F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Southampton F.C.: DWLWL
Hull City A.F.C.: WDWDL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | Southampton F.C. vs Hull City A.F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-20 | Hull City A.F.C. vs Southampton F.C. | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Southampton F.C. vs Hull City A.F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Southampton F.C. (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Southampton F.C. vs Hull City A.F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 17 Jan 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Southampton F.C. vs Hull City A.F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.