Liverpool F.C.vs
Southampton F.C.Liverpool F.C. 3-1 Southampton F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2024-2025Sat, 08 Mar 2025 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Liverpool F.C.80%
- Liverpool F.C. 80%
- Draw 14%
- Southampton F.C. 5%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Liverpool F.C., rating it at 80.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Liverpool F.C. won 2 of 8, with 1 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 14.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Liverpool F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Liverpool F.C.: DDWLL
Southampton F.C.: DWLWL
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 3.88Avg goals
- 63%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-08 | Liverpool F.C. vs Southampton F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2024-11-24 | Southampton F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 2–3 |
| 2023-05-28 | Southampton vs Liverpool | 4–4 |
| 2022-11-12 | Liverpool vs Southampton | 3–1 |
| 2022-05-17 | Southampton vs Liverpool | 1–2 |
| 2021-11-27 | Liverpool vs Southampton | 4–0 |
| 2021-05-08 | Liverpool vs Southampton | 2–0 |
| 2021-01-04 | Southampton vs Liverpool | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Liverpool F.C. vs Southampton F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Liverpool F.C. (80% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Liverpool F.C. vs Southampton F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 08 Mar 2025 15:00 GMT — English Premier League 2024-2025.
- What is the Liverpool F.C. vs Southampton F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.88 goals per game.