Southampton F.C.vs
Norwich CitySouthampton F.C. vs Norwich City Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipWed, 17 Feb 2027 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Southampton F.C.56%
- Southampton F.C.
- Draw
- Norwich City
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Southampton F.C. or draw80%
- Draw or Norwich City44%
- Southampton F.C. or Norwich City76%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.556%
- Under 2.544%
Both teams to score
- Southampton F.C., last 10 home games8 of 10
- Norwich City, last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (557 games)59%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Southampton F.C., rating it at 55.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Southampton F.C. won 1 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Norwich City's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Southampton F.C.'s 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Norwich City's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 128 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Southampton F.C.: WLWWD
Norwich City: LLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 128 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 4Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Southampton F.C. vs Norwich City | 1–0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Norwich City vs Southampton F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2022-02-25 | Southampton vs Norwich City | 2–0 |
| 2021-11-20 | Norwich City vs Southampton | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Southampton F.C. vs Norwich City?
- Tofiko's model favours Southampton F.C. (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Southampton F.C. vs Norwich City kick off?
- Wed, 17 Feb 2027 19:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Southampton F.C. vs Norwich City head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.