Nottingham Forest F.C.vs
Southampton F.C.Nottingham Forest F.C. 3-2 Southampton F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2024-2025Sun, 19 Jan 2025 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Nottingham Forest F.C.62%
- Nottingham Forest F.C. 62%
- Draw 22%
- Southampton F.C. 16%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Nottingham Forest F.C., rating it at 61.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Nottingham Forest F.C. won 2 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 61.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Southampton F.C.'s last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Nottingham Forest F.C.'s 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Southampton F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Nottingham Forest F.C.: DLLWW
Southampton F.C.: DWLWL
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-19 | Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Southampton F.C. | 3–2 |
| 2024-08-24 | Southampton F.C. vs Nottingham Forest F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2023-05-08 | Nottingham Forest vs Southampton | 4–3 |
| 2023-01-04 | Southampton vs Nottingham Forest | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Southampton F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Nottingham Forest F.C. (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Southampton F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 19 Jan 2025 14:00 GMT — English Premier League 2024-2025.
- What is the Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Southampton F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.