Southampton F.C.vs
Oxford United F.C.Southampton F.C. 2-0 Oxford United F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 21 Mar 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Southampton F.C.63%
- Southampton F.C. 63%
- Draw 21%
- Oxford United F.C. 16%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Southampton F.C., rating it at 62.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Southampton F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 62.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Southampton F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Southampton F.C.: WLWLW
Oxford United F.C.: WDLWW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Southampton F.C. vs Oxford United F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Oxford United F.C. vs Southampton F.C. | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Southampton F.C. vs Oxford United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Southampton F.C. (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Southampton F.C. vs Oxford United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 21 Mar 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Southampton F.C. vs Oxford United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.