Southampton F.C. crestSouthampton F.C.vsPortsmouth F.C. crestPortsmouth F.C.

Southampton F.C. vs Portsmouth F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipSun, 11 Oct 2026 11:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Southampton F.C.66%

Tofiko66% / 20% / 15%
Market61% / 22% / 17%
  • Southampton F.C.
  • Draw
  • Portsmouth F.C.

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Southampton F.C., rating it at 65.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Southampton F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.

Recent form

As of 8 Oct 2026.

Southampton F.C.: LWWDD

Portsmouth F.C.: DDWLL

Head-to-head

As of 8 Oct 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 1.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-25Portsmouth F.C. vs Southampton F.C.1–1
2025-09-14Southampton F.C. vs Portsmouth F.C.0–0

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FAQ

Who will win Southampton F.C. vs Portsmouth F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Southampton F.C. (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Southampton F.C. vs Portsmouth F.C. kick off?
Sun, 11 Oct 2026 11:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Southampton F.C. vs Portsmouth F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.

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Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixturePortsmouth vs Southampton27 Feb 2027 →