Southampton F.C.vs
Swansea City A.F.C.Southampton F.C. 3-1 Swansea City A.F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipTue, 08 Sep 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Southampton F.C.56%
- Southampton F.C. 56%
- Draw 22%
- Swansea City A.F.C. 22%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Southampton F.C., rating it at 55.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Southampton F.C. won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 55.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 14 Sep 2026.
Southampton F.C.: WWDDW
Swansea City A.F.C.: WLDWW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Southampton F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Swansea City A.F.C. vs Southampton F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-10-18 | Southampton F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C. | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Southampton F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Southampton F.C. (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Southampton F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C. kick off?
- Tue, 08 Sep 2026 18:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Southampton F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.