Stoke City F.C. crestStoke City F.C.vsCharlton Athletic F.C. crestCharlton Athletic F.C.

Stoke City F.C. 4-0 Charlton Athletic F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipSat, 05 Sep 2026 11:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Stoke City F.C.41%

  • Stoke City F.C. 41%
  • Draw 27%
  • Charlton Athletic F.C. 32%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Stoke City F.C., rating it at 40.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Stoke City F.C. won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Stoke City F.C.'s last 5 produced 15 goals — 3.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Charlton Athletic F.C.'s 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 14 Sep 2026.

Stoke City F.C.: WDWWL

Charlton Athletic F.C.: DDLDW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 2.67Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-05Stoke City F.C. vs Charlton Athletic F.C.4–0
2026-02-11Charlton Athletic F.C. vs Stoke City F.C.1–0
2025-11-25Stoke City F.C. vs Charlton Athletic F.C.3–0

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FAQ

Who will win Stoke City F.C. vs Charlton Athletic F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Stoke City F.C. (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Stoke City F.C. vs Charlton Athletic F.C. kick off?
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 11:30 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Stoke City F.C. vs Charlton Athletic F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureCharlton vs Stoke City10 Apr 2027 →