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Stoke City F.C. crestStoke City F.C.vsIpswich Town F.C. crestIpswich Town F.C.

Stoke City F.C. vs Ipswich Town F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL ChampionshipTue, 10 Mar 2026 20:00 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Stoke City F.C. 33 Ipswich Town F.C.

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Ipswich Town F.C.44%

Stoke City F.C. 31%
Draw 25%
Ipswich Town F.C. 44%
  • Stoke City F.C. 31%
  • Draw 25%
  • Ipswich Town F.C. 44%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Ipswich Town F.C., rating it at 44.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Stoke City F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 44.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Stoke City F.C.: DWWDL

Ipswich Town F.C.: WWLLW

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-10Stoke City F.C. vs Ipswich Town F.C.3–3
2025-12-10Ipswich Town F.C. vs Stoke City F.C.1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Stoke City F.C. vs Ipswich Town F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Ipswich Town F.C. (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Stoke City F.C. vs Ipswich Town F.C. kick off?
Tue, 10 Mar 2026 20:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Stoke City F.C. vs Ipswich Town F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

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