Stoke City F.C. crestStoke City F.C.vsLeicester City F.C. crestLeicester City F.C.

Stoke City F.C. 2-2 Leicester City F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipSat, 21 Feb 2026 12:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Stoke City F.C.51%

Tofiko51% / 24% / 25%
Market45% / 28% / 27%
  • Stoke City F.C.
  • Draw
  • Leicester City F.C.

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Stoke City F.C., rating it at 51.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Stoke City F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Leicester City F.C.'s last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Stoke City F.C.'s 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Leicester City F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 24 Sep 2026.

Stoke City F.C.: WWDWW

Leicester City F.C.: WDWLW

Head-to-head

As of 24 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-21Stoke City F.C. vs Leicester City F.C.2–2
2025-11-22Leicester City F.C. vs Stoke City F.C.2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Stoke City F.C. vs Leicester City F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Stoke City F.C. (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Stoke City F.C. vs Leicester City F.C. kick off?
Sat, 21 Feb 2026 12:30 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Stoke City F.C. vs Leicester City F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legLeicester 2-1 Stoke City22 Nov 2025 →