Stoke City F.C. crestStoke City F.C.vsLeicester City F.C. crestLeicester City F.C.

Stoke City F.C. 2-2 Leicester City F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipSat, 21 Feb 2026 12:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Stoke City F.C.51%

  • Stoke City F.C. 51%
  • Draw 24%
  • Leicester City F.C. 25%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Stoke City F.C., rating it at 51.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Stoke City F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Stoke City F.C.: LDLLW

Leicester City F.C.: DLLDW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-21Stoke City F.C. vs Leicester City F.C.2–2
2025-11-22Leicester City F.C. vs Stoke City F.C.2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Stoke City F.C. vs Leicester City F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Stoke City F.C. (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Stoke City F.C. vs Leicester City F.C. kick off?
Sat, 21 Feb 2026 12:30 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Stoke City F.C. vs Leicester City F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

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