Stoke City F.C. crestStoke City F.C.vsNorwich City crestNorwich City

Stoke City F.C. 1-0 Norwich City — Result, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipTue, 01 Sep 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Norwich City40%

Tofiko35% / 25% / 40%
Market27% / 27% / 46%
  • Stoke City F.C.
  • Draw
  • Norwich City

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Norwich City, rating it at 39.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Stoke City F.C. won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Norwich City's last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Stoke City F.C.'s 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Norwich City's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 22 Sep 2026.

Stoke City F.C.: WWDWW

Norwich City: LLLWW

Head-to-head

As of 22 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 1.67Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-01Stoke City F.C. vs Norwich City1–0
2026-01-04Norwich City vs Stoke City F.C.0–2
2025-09-27Stoke City F.C. vs Norwich City1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Stoke City F.C. vs Norwich City?
Tofiko's model favours Norwich City (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Stoke City F.C. vs Norwich City kick off?
Tue, 01 Sep 2026 19:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Stoke City F.C. vs Norwich City head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureNorwich vs Stoke City20 Apr 2027 →