Stoke City F.C. crestStoke City F.C.vsOxford United F.C. crestOxford United F.C.

Stoke City F.C. 2-1 Oxford United F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipWed, 25 Feb 2026 20:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Stoke City F.C.49%

  • Stoke City F.C. 49%
  • Draw 26%
  • Oxford United F.C. 25%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

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Analysis

Both model families pick Stoke City F.C., rating it at 48.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Stoke City F.C. won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Stoke City F.C.: LDLLW

Oxford United F.C.: LWDLW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-25Stoke City F.C. vs Oxford United F.C.2–1
2025-11-04Oxford United F.C. vs Stoke City F.C.0–3

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FAQ

Who will win Stoke City F.C. vs Oxford United F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Stoke City F.C. (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Stoke City F.C. vs Oxford United F.C. kick off?
Wed, 25 Feb 2026 20:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Stoke City F.C. vs Oxford United F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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