Stoke City F.C.vs
Southampton F.C.Stoke City F.C. vs Southampton F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipWed, 03 Mar 2027 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Southampton F.C.55%
- Stoke City F.C.
- Draw
- Southampton F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Stoke City F.C. or draw45%
- Draw or Southampton F.C.81%
- Stoke City F.C. or Southampton F.C.73%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.548%
- Under 2.552%
Both teams to score
- Stoke City F.C., last 10 home games5 of 10
- Southampton F.C., last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Southampton F.C., rating it at 54.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Stoke City F.C. won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 141 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Stoke City F.C.: LWWWD
Southampton F.C.: WLWWD
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 141 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Southampton F.C. vs Stoke City F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2026-01-31 | Stoke City F.C. vs Southampton F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2025-08-23 | Southampton F.C. vs Stoke City F.C. | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Stoke City F.C. vs Southampton F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Southampton F.C. (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Stoke City F.C. vs Southampton F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 03 Mar 2027 19:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Stoke City F.C. vs Southampton F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.