Stoke City F.C. crestStoke City F.C.vsSouthampton F.C. crestSouthampton F.C.

Stoke City F.C. vs Southampton F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipWed, 03 Mar 2027 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Southampton F.C.55%

Tofiko19% / 27% / 55%
  • Stoke City F.C.
  • Draw
  • Southampton F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Southampton F.C., rating it at 54.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Stoke City F.C. won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 161 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Stoke City F.C.: WWDWW

Southampton F.C.: LWWDD

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 161 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 3Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-22Southampton F.C. vs Stoke City F.C.3–1
2026-01-31Stoke City F.C. vs Southampton F.C.0–2
2025-08-23Southampton F.C. vs Stoke City F.C.1–2

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FAQ

Who will win Stoke City F.C. vs Southampton F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Southampton F.C. (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Stoke City F.C. vs Southampton F.C. kick off?
Wed, 03 Mar 2027 19:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Stoke City F.C. vs Southampton F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legSouthampton 3-1 Stoke City22 Aug 2026 →