Stoke City F.C.vs
Southampton F.C.Stoke City F.C. vs Southampton F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipWed, 03 Mar 2027 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Southampton F.C.55%
- Stoke City F.C. 19%
- Draw 27%
- Southampton F.C. 55%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Southampton F.C., rating it at 54.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Stoke City F.C. won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Southampton F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 183 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Stoke City F.C.: LDLLW
Southampton F.C.: WLWLW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 183 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Southampton F.C. vs Stoke City F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2026-01-31 | Stoke City F.C. vs Southampton F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2025-08-23 | Southampton F.C. vs Stoke City F.C. | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Stoke City F.C. vs Southampton F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Southampton F.C. (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Stoke City F.C. vs Southampton F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 03 Mar 2027 19:45 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Stoke City F.C. vs Southampton F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.