Southampton F.C.vs
Stoke City F.C.Southampton F.C. vs Stoke City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL ChampionshipSat, 22 Aug 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Southampton F.C.63%
- Southampton F.C. 63%
- Draw 23%
- Stoke City F.C. 14%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Southampton F.C., rating it at 62.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Southampton F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 62.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Southampton F.C.: WWWDD
Stoke City F.C.: DWWDL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Stoke City F.C. vs Southampton F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2025-08-23 | Southampton F.C. vs Stoke City F.C. | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Southampton F.C. vs Stoke City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Southampton F.C. (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Southampton F.C. vs Stoke City F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 22 Aug 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Southampton F.C. vs Stoke City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.