Southampton F.C. crestSouthampton F.C.vsStoke City F.C. crestStoke City F.C.

Southampton F.C. 3-1 Stoke City F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipSat, 22 Aug 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Southampton F.C.61%

Tofiko61% / 22% / 17%
Market61% / 22% / 17%
  • Southampton F.C.
  • Draw
  • Stoke City F.C.

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Southampton F.C., rating it at 61.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Southampton F.C. won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 22 Sep 2026.

Southampton F.C.: LWWDD

Stoke City F.C.: WWDWW

Head-to-head

As of 22 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-22Southampton F.C. vs Stoke City F.C.3–1
2026-01-31Stoke City F.C. vs Southampton F.C.0–2
2025-08-23Southampton F.C. vs Stoke City F.C.1–2

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FAQ

Who will win Southampton F.C. vs Stoke City F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Southampton F.C. (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Southampton F.C. vs Stoke City F.C. kick off?
Sat, 22 Aug 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Southampton F.C. vs Stoke City F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureStoke City vs Southampton3 Mar 2027 →