Swansea City A.F.C. crestSwansea City A.F.C.vsBurnley F.C. crestBurnley F.C.

Swansea City A.F.C. vs Burnley F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipSat, 12 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Swansea City A.F.C.61%

  • Swansea City A.F.C. 61%
  • Draw 20%
  • Burnley F.C. 18%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Swansea City A.F.C., rating it at 61.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The model puts the draw at 20.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 9 Sep 2026.

Swansea City A.F.C.: LDWWD

Burnley F.C.: DLDLD

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Swansea City A.F.C. vs Burnley F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Swansea City A.F.C. (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Swansea City A.F.C. vs Burnley F.C. kick off?
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.

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Reverse fixtureBurnley vs Swansea13 Feb 2027 →