Swansea City A.F.C. crestSwansea City A.F.C.vsDerby County F.C. crestDerby County F.C.

Swansea City A.F.C. vs Derby County F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipSat, 17 Apr 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Swansea City A.F.C.39%

Tofiko39% / 28% / 34%
  • Swansea City A.F.C.
  • Draw
  • Derby County F.C.

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Swansea City A.F.C., rating it at 38.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Swansea City A.F.C. won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 207 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Swansea City A.F.C.: WWLDW

Derby County F.C.: DLLLW

Head-to-head

As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 207 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 3Games
  • 2.67Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-29Derby County F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C.0–3
2026-02-14Derby County F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C.2–0
2025-11-25Swansea City A.F.C. vs Derby County F.C.1–2

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FAQ

Who will win Swansea City A.F.C. vs Derby County F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Swansea City A.F.C. (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Swansea City A.F.C. vs Derby County F.C. kick off?
Sat, 17 Apr 2027 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Swansea City A.F.C. vs Derby County F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legDerby 0-3 Swansea29 Aug 2026 →