Swansea City A.F.C.vs
Derby County F.C.Swansea City A.F.C. vs Derby County F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 17 Apr 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Swansea City A.F.C.39%
- Swansea City A.F.C. 39%
- Draw 28%
- Derby County F.C. 34%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Swansea City A.F.C., rating it at 38.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Swansea City A.F.C. won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 38.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 228 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Swansea City A.F.C.: WDWLW
Derby County F.C.: LDLLD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 228 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Derby County F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C. | 0–3 |
| 2026-02-14 | Derby County F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-11-25 | Swansea City A.F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Swansea City A.F.C. vs Derby County F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Swansea City A.F.C. (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Swansea City A.F.C. vs Derby County F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 17 Apr 2027 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Swansea City A.F.C. vs Derby County F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.