Swansea City A.F.C.vs
Derby County F.C.Swansea City A.F.C. vs Derby County F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 17 Apr 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Swansea City A.F.C.39%
- Swansea City A.F.C.
- Draw
- Derby County F.C.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Swansea City A.F.C. or draw66%
- Draw or Derby County F.C.61%
- Swansea City A.F.C. or Derby County F.C.72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.550%
- Under 2.550%
Both teams to score
- Swansea City A.F.C., last 10 home games3 of 10
- Derby County F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Swansea City A.F.C., rating it at 38.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Swansea City A.F.C. won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 185 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Swansea City A.F.C.: WWWWL
Derby County F.C.: DDLLL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 185 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Derby County F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C. | 0–3 |
| 2026-02-14 | Derby County F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-11-25 | Swansea City A.F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Swansea City A.F.C. vs Derby County F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Swansea City A.F.C. (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Swansea City A.F.C. vs Derby County F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 17 Apr 2027 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Swansea City A.F.C. vs Derby County F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.