Derby County F.C. crestDerby County F.C.vsSwansea City A.F.C. crestSwansea City A.F.C.

Derby County F.C. 0-3 Swansea City A.F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipSat, 29 Aug 2026 11:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Derby County F.C.47%

Tofiko47% / 24% / 30%
Market41% / 28% / 30%
  • Derby County F.C.
  • Draw
  • Swansea City A.F.C.

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Derby County F.C., rating it at 46.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Derby County F.C. won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 22 Sep 2026.

Derby County F.C.: DLLLW

Swansea City A.F.C.: WWLDW

Head-to-head

As of 22 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 2.67Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-29Derby County F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C.0–3
2026-02-14Derby County F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C.2–0
2025-11-25Swansea City A.F.C. vs Derby County F.C.1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Derby County F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Derby County F.C. (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Derby County F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C. kick off?
Sat, 29 Aug 2026 11:30 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Derby County F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

Reverse fixtureSwansea vs Derby17 Apr 2027 →