Swansea City A.F.C. crestSwansea City A.F.C.vsStoke City F.C. crestStoke City F.C.

Swansea City A.F.C. vs Stoke City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipSat, 06 Mar 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Swansea City A.F.C.47%

Tofiko47% / 30% / 23%
  • Swansea City A.F.C.
  • Draw
  • Stoke City F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Swansea City A.F.C. or draw77%
  • Draw or Stoke City F.C.53%
  • Swansea City A.F.C. or Stoke City F.C.70%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.539%
  • Under 2.561%

Both teams to score

  • Swansea City A.F.C., last 10 home games3 of 10
  • Stoke City F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Swansea City A.F.C., rating it at 47.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Swansea City A.F.C. won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 143 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Swansea City A.F.C.: WWWWL

Stoke City F.C.: LWWWD

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 143 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 3Games
  • 2.67Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-15Stoke City F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C.1–2
2026-03-07Swansea City A.F.C. vs Stoke City F.C.2–0
2025-12-13Stoke City F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C.2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Swansea City A.F.C. vs Stoke City F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Swansea City A.F.C. (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Swansea City A.F.C. vs Stoke City F.C. kick off?
Sat, 06 Mar 2027 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Swansea City A.F.C. vs Stoke City F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legStoke City 1-2 Swansea15 Aug 2026 →