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Stoke City F.C. crestStoke City F.C.vsSwansea City A.F.C. crestSwansea City A.F.C.

Stoke City F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL ChampionshipSat, 15 Aug 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Swansea City A.F.C.37%

Stoke City F.C. 32%
Draw 31%
Swansea City A.F.C. 37%
  • Stoke City F.C. 32%
  • Draw 31%
  • Swansea City A.F.C. 37%

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Swansea City A.F.C., rating it at 37.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Stoke City F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 37.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Stoke City F.C.: DWWDL

Swansea City A.F.C.: WLWLD

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-07Swansea City A.F.C. vs Stoke City F.C.2–0
2025-12-13Stoke City F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C.2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Stoke City F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Swansea City A.F.C. (37% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Stoke City F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C. kick off?
Sat, 15 Aug 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Stoke City F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

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