Watford F.C.vs
Derby County F.C.Watford F.C. vs Derby County F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 13 Mar 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Derby County F.C.44%
- Watford F.C.
- Draw
- Derby County F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Watford F.C. or draw56%
- Draw or Derby County F.C.72%
- Watford F.C. or Derby County F.C.73%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.551%
- Under 2.549%
Both teams to score
- Watford F.C., last 10 home games5 of 10
- Derby County F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (565 games)59%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Derby County F.C., rating it at 44.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Watford F.C. won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 150 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Watford F.C.: LLLLW
Derby County F.C.: DDLLL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 150 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Watford F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Derby County F.C. vs Watford F.C. | 2–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Watford F.C. vs Derby County F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Derby County F.C. (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Watford F.C. vs Derby County F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 13 Mar 2027 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Watford F.C. vs Derby County F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.