Watford F.C.vs
Derby County F.C.Watford F.C. vs Derby County F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipSat, 13 Mar 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Derby County F.C.44%
Tofiko28% / 27% / 44%
- Watford F.C.
- Draw
- Derby County F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Derby County F.C., rating it at 44.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Watford F.C. won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
Recent form
As of 24 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 171 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Watford F.C.: LLWLL
Derby County F.C.: DLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 24 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 171 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Watford F.C. vs Derby County F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Derby County F.C. vs Watford F.C. | 2–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Watford F.C. vs Derby County F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Derby County F.C. (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Watford F.C. vs Derby County F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 13 Mar 2027 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Watford F.C. vs Derby County F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.