Watford crestWatfordvsManchester United crestManchester United

Watford 4-1 Manchester United — Result, H2H & Form

English Premier League 2021-2022Sat, 20 Nov 2021 15:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Manchester United62%

Tofiko17% / 21% / 62%
Market14% / 20% / 66%
  • Watford
  • Draw
  • Manchester United

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Manchester United, rating it at 62.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Watford won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.

Recent form

As of 26 Sep 2026.

Watford: LLWLL

Manchester United: DLLWD

Head-to-head

As of 26 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2022-02-26Manchester United vs Watford0–0
2021-11-20Watford vs Manchester United4–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Watford vs Manchester United?
Tofiko's model favours Manchester United (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Watford vs Manchester United kick off?
Sat, 20 Nov 2021 15:00 GMT — English Premier League 2021-2022.
What is the Watford vs Manchester United head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legManchester United 0-0 Watford26 Feb 2022 →