Avispa Fukuokavs
Cerezo OsakaAvispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka Prediction, H2H & Stats
J1 LeagueSat, 15 Aug 2026 10:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Cerezo Osaka41%
- Avispa Fukuoka 35%
- Draw 24%
- Cerezo Osaka 41%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Cerezo Osaka, rating it at 40.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Avispa Fukuoka won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Avispa Fukuoka: LWLWD
Cerezo Osaka: WDWWD
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 3.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Cerezo Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka | 1–1 |
| 2025-09-13 | Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka | 2–4 |
| 2025-05-24 | Cerezo Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka?
- Tofiko's model favours Cerezo Osaka (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka kick off?
- Sat, 15 Aug 2026 10:00 GMT — J1 League.
- What is the Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.33 goals per game.