Cerezo Osakavs
Albirex NiigataCerezo Osaka 3-1 Albirex Niigata — Result, H2H & Form
J1 League 2026Mon, 11 Aug 2025 10:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Cerezo Osaka66%
- Cerezo Osaka 66%
- Draw 18%
- Albirex Niigata 15%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Cerezo Osaka, rating it at 66.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Cerezo Osaka won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 66.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 18.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Cerezo Osaka: LWWLW
Albirex Niigata: WLWWL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-11 | Cerezo Osaka vs Albirex Niigata | 3–1 |
| 2025-03-02 | Albirex Niigata vs Cerezo Osaka | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Albirex Niigata?
- Tofiko's model favours Cerezo Osaka (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Cerezo Osaka vs Albirex Niigata kick off?
- Mon, 11 Aug 2025 10:00 GMT — J1 League 2026.
- What is the Cerezo Osaka vs Albirex Niigata head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.