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Cerezo Osaka crestCerezo OsakavsShimizu S-Pulse crestShimizu S-Pulse

Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse Prediction, H2H & Stats

J1 LeagueSat, 22 Aug 2026 10:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Cerezo Osaka61%

Cerezo Osaka 61%
Draw 21%
Shimizu S-Pulse 18%
  • Cerezo Osaka 61%
  • Draw 21%
  • Shimizu S-Pulse 18%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Cerezo Osaka, rating it at 60.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Cerezo Osaka won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 60.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 20.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Cerezo Osaka: WDWWD

Shimizu S-Pulse: WDWWL

Head-to-head

  • 3Games
  • 4.33Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-06Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka1–1
2025-11-09Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka1–4
2025-06-01Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse4–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse?
Tofiko's model favours Cerezo Osaka (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse kick off?
Sat, 22 Aug 2026 10:00 GMT — J1 League.
What is the Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.33 goals per game.

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