Shimizu S-Pulse crestShimizu S-PulsevsCerezo Osaka crestCerezo Osaka

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka Prediction, H2H & Form

J1 LeagueSat, 15 May 2027 10:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Cerezo Osaka50%

  • Shimizu S-Pulse 28%
  • Draw 22%
  • Cerezo Osaka 50%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Cerezo Osaka, rating it at 49.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Shimizu S-Pulse won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 49.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 22.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 256 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Shimizu S-Pulse: LDLLW

Cerezo Osaka: LWWLW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 256 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 4Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-22Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse1–0
2026-05-06Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka1–1
2025-11-09Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka1–4
2025-06-01Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse4–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka?
Tofiko's model favours Cerezo Osaka (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka kick off?
Sat, 15 May 2027 10:00 GMT — J1 League.
What is the Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

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