Albirex Niigatavs
Fagiano OkayamaAlbirex Niigata 1-1 Fagiano Okayama — Result, H2H & Form
J1 League 2026Sat, 04 Oct 2025 05:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Fagiano Okayama42%
- Albirex Niigata 33%
- Draw 26%
- Fagiano Okayama 42%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Fagiano Okayama, rating it at 41.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Albirex Niigata won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 41.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Albirex Niigata: WLWWL
Fagiano Okayama: LWDWL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-04 | Albirex Niigata vs Fagiano Okayama | 1–1 |
| 2025-05-18 | Fagiano Okayama vs Albirex Niigata | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Albirex Niigata vs Fagiano Okayama?
- Tofiko's model favours Fagiano Okayama (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Albirex Niigata vs Fagiano Okayama kick off?
- Sat, 04 Oct 2025 05:00 GMT — J1 League 2026.
- What is the Albirex Niigata vs Fagiano Okayama head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.