Fagiano Okayamavs
Sanfrecce HiroshimaFagiano Okayama 3-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Result, H2H & Form
J1 LeagueSun, 06 Sep 2026 09:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Sanfrecce Hiroshima50%
- Fagiano Okayama 25%
- Draw 26%
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 50%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Sanfrecce Hiroshima, rating it at 49.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Fagiano Okayama won 3 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 49.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 9 Sep 2026.
Fagiano Okayama: WWLWD
Sanfrecce Hiroshima: LWDWD
Head-to-head
As of 9 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 3–2 |
| 2026-05-02 | Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1–0 |
| 2025-07-05 | Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0–1 |
| 2025-04-12 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
- Tofiko's model favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima kick off?
- Sun, 06 Sep 2026 09:00 GMT — J1 League.
- What is the Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.