Fagiano Okayamavs
V-Varen NagasakiFagiano Okayama vs V-Varen Nagasaki Prediction, H2H & Stats
J1 LeagueSat, 15 Aug 2026 09:55 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Fagiano Okayama48%
- Fagiano Okayama 48%
- Draw 25%
- V-Varen Nagasaki 28%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Fagiano Okayama, rating it at 47.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Fagiano Okayama won none of them. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Fagiano Okayama: LLLWL
V-Varen Nagasaki: LLWWL
Head-to-head
- 1Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | V-Varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
- Tofiko's model favours Fagiano Okayama (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Fagiano Okayama vs V-Varen Nagasaki kick off?
- Sat, 15 Aug 2026 09:55 GMT — J1 League.
- What is the Fagiano Okayama vs V-Varen Nagasaki head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.