FC Tokyovs
Albirex NiigataFC Tokyo 1-1 Albirex Niigata — Result, H2H & Form
J1 League 2026Sat, 06 Dec 2025 05:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Tokyo59%
- FC Tokyo 59%
- Draw 23%
- Albirex Niigata 19%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Tokyo, rating it at 58.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and FC Tokyo won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 58.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Tokyo's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
FC Tokyo: WWWDL
Albirex Niigata: WLWWL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | FC Tokyo vs Albirex Niigata | 1–1 |
| 2025-05-03 | Albirex Niigata vs FC Tokyo | 2–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Tokyo vs Albirex Niigata?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Tokyo (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Tokyo vs Albirex Niigata kick off?
- Sat, 06 Dec 2025 05:00 GMT — J1 League 2026.
- What is the FC Tokyo vs Albirex Niigata head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.