FC Tokyovs
Nagoya GrampusFC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction, H2H & Stats
J1 LeagueSat, 19 Sep 2026 10:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Tokyo47%
- FC Tokyo 47%
- Draw 24%
- Nagoya Grampus 30%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Tokyo, rating it at 46.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and FC Tokyo won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 46.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Nagoya Grampus's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Tokyo: LWLDL
Nagoya Grampus: LDDLL
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus | 2–1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tokyo | 1–1 |
| 2025-02-26 | FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Tokyo (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus kick off?
- Sat, 19 Sep 2026 10:00 GMT — J1 League.
- What is the FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.