Gamba Osaka crestGamba OsakavsAlbirex Niigata crestAlbirex Niigata

Gamba Osaka 4-2 Albirex Niigata — Result, H2H & Form

J1 League 2026Sat, 27 Sep 2025 08:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Gamba Osaka64%

  • Gamba Osaka 64%
  • Draw 20%
  • Albirex Niigata 17%
Market implied probability

The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.

Create a free account

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Gamba Osaka, rating it at 63.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Gamba Osaka won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 63.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 19.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Gamba Osaka: DWLDD

Albirex Niigata: WLWWL

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 6.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-09-27Gamba Osaka vs Albirex Niigata4–2
2025-03-29Albirex Niigata vs Gamba Osaka3–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Gamba Osaka vs Albirex Niigata?
Tofiko's model favours Gamba Osaka (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Gamba Osaka vs Albirex Niigata kick off?
Sat, 27 Sep 2025 08:00 GMT — J1 League 2026.
What is the Gamba Osaka vs Albirex Niigata head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 6.00 goals per game.

More predictions

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.